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Tuesday
May202008

Crewe and Nantwich

Looks like Brown's in trouble. The Tories may well win the Crewe and Nantwich bye-election (I was there recently actually - lots of trains).

His problem is that people either vote for ideas or personalities. Since the Tories and Labour now have more or less the same ideas (cut taxes, sell off the public services and hitch yourself to US foreign policy) it's going to all boil down to personalities.

Given the choice, people are likely to vote for the guy who's a bit smoother and upbeat - and that's David Cameron (I'm not, obviously).

I don't think Labour can win an election without either a fundamental change in its policies or a fundamental change in its leadership. It will be interesting to see if the Crewe and Nantwich bye-election leads to either.

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